Rein in AI: Own Your Power
Research by Carl Fitzsimmons with references
What the 130th could gain by keeping it here.
What the AI data-center boom means for the people who pay the electric bill, turn on the tap for fresh water loose farm land without the ability to grow anything.
In Nevada, a utility told 49,000 Lake Tahoe families to find their power elsewhere while it plans for data centers; in the country’s biggest grid market, data centers added $16 to $18 a month to family bills before a single server was switched on
On Seneca Lake, a plant the public paid to rebuild sent its power to Bitcoin instead of the grid and is now renaming itself for AI while telling the state the new moratorium does not apply.
It is a matter of when, not if. The answer is to close the loophole, make data centers pay their own way, protect our lakes — and own our power locally, where nobody in Reno can bid on it.
Every figure below is footnoted to a public source. Read it, check it, and share it.
Rein in AI
You can be outbid for your own power. In Nevada a utility told 49,000 Lake Tahoe families to find electricity elsewhere while it plans for data centers. On Seneca Lake, a power plant the public helped rebuild sent its power to Bitcoin instead of the grid — and is now renaming itself for AI and telling the state the new moratorium does not apply. This is not a question of whether it reaches the 130th. It is a question of when, and whether we own our power before it does.
The AI data-center boom is the largest new demand for electricity in a generation, and households are now competing with the deepest-pocketed buyers in the world for the same power. In the country's biggest grid market, data centers drove a $9.3 billion jump in one year's capacity costs — about $16 to $18 a month on a family's bill in Ohio and Maryland.1 New York's own grid operator has more than 12,000 megawatts of large-load requests in its queue, "particularly in upstate zones."2 And the first AI data center in our region is not a proposal — it is Greenidge on Seneca Lake, which took a $2 million state grant to convert from coal to gas, then stopped sending power to the grid in 2019 to mine Bitcoin, and in July 2026 renamed itself for AI while telling reporters the Governor's moratorium "does not apply."3 4 5 6
The honest version of the threat is not that anyone will turn off your lights to run a chatbot; it is that you will be outbid, displaced and charged more, quietly, through rate cases you never see. The hedge is the same one the energy brief lays out: power we own and make here cannot be redirected to a buyer in Reno or a rack in Dresden. And the law has to close the loophole a rebrand just drove through — a plant that changes what it does should need a permit for what it becomes.
1. What happened at Lake Tahoe
In March 2026 Liberty Utilities, which serves about 49,000 customers around South Lake Tahoe, told California regulators that NV Energy — the source of roughly 75% of its power — would stop supplying it after May 2027, citing "its own resource needs."7 NV Energy's own resource needs are data centers: they were 22% of Nevada's electricity in 2024 and are projected to reach 35% by 2030, with data-center requests driving about three-quarters of the utility's load growth and a plan to nearly triple its peak capacity.8 Building a direct connection over the Sierra to replace the lost supply would cost "hundreds of millions of dollars," according to Liberty's president; Liberty's rates had already roughly doubled between 2020 and 2025 and sit near 34 cents a kilowatt-hour.8 9 A local energy leader put it plainly: "We're 49,000 customers. We have no leverage."8 10
Two honest notes. NV Energy says "there will be no disruptions in power" and that "data centers did not influence this decision"; California's regulator says supply continues until replacement transmission is built, and the deadline has since slipped to 2028.11 12 Nobody's lights went out. What happened is quieter and fully documented: a small community's contract was not renewed by a utility whose growth is data centers, and the cost of replacing it lands on the community. That is what "outbid" looks like.
2. The bill comes first — before a single server is switched on
The mechanism is the capacity market: every year the grid buys enough standby power to cover the worst hour, and when data centers announce they are coming, the price of standby power jumps for everyone — years before the data center runs. That is how families in Ohio saw $16 a month appear on their bills for computers in Virginia.1 New York is not in PJM, but it runs the same kind of market, and its operator's queue holds more than 12,000 megawatts of large-load requests — roughly the output of a dozen Ginnas — concentrated upstate.2 The Public Service Commission opened a case in February 2026 to decide who pays for the wires and standby power those loads need; the Governor's stated goal is that "those profiting from data growth pay their share."15 The federal Department of Energy went further, projecting that plant retirements plus data-center growth could raise outage risk in some regions a hundredfold by 2030, with 50 gigawatts of new peak demand attributable to data centers — a report critics say overstates the risk, and the honest reading is that both the number and the argument about it are on the record.16 17
Closer to home, the pattern is already visible. At the STAMP site in Genesee County a 500-megawatt data center is seeking about $801 million in tax incentives for 125 permanent jobs.18 Towns from Lysander to Perth have passed their own moratoriums while proposals of 180 to 635 megawatts stack up in Tonawanda, Massena, Ilion and Albany.19 The 130th sits between two of the largest lakes in the country, on a transmission corridor, next to a nuclear plant. We are not on the list yet. We will be.
3. Greenidge: the case study forty miles from Wayne County
Greenidge Generation in Dresden, on the west shore of Seneca Lake, was a coal plant that closed in 2011. A Connecticut private-equity firm, Atlas Holdings, bought it in 2014 and converted it to natural gas with a $2 million state economic-development grant, a new 4.6-mile pipeline, and PILOT agreements that cut its payments to Yates County, the Town of Torrey and the Penn Yan schools from $968,006 in 2010 to $146,150 in 2020.3 20 At the 2016 reopening the company promised "60 to 100 new positions" and power for the grid.21 By 2019 it had "ceased producing power for the public grid entirely"; by 2020 it was a full-time Bitcoin mine running behind its own meter, and by its own count had about 50 employees.20 4 22
| Year | What happened | The number |
|---|---|---|
| 2015–17 | State grant for the coal-to-gas conversion; pipeline; PILOTs; "60 to 100" jobs promised3 21 | $2M public |
| 2019–20 | Power stops going to the grid; plant becomes a Bitcoin mine20 4 | 0 MW to us |
| 2019 → 2021 | Greenhouse emissions, per DEC: 69,022 → 514,012 tons CO2e; projected 1,050,467 a year23 | 7× in 2 yrs |
| 2022 | DEC denies the air permit: the plant "primarily serve[s] … on-site cryptocurrency mining operations, rather than provide energy primarily to the electricity grid"23 | Denied |
| 2022–24 | Two-year state moratorium on new fossil-fueled crypto-mining permits; expires with the required environmental study never finished24 25 | Expired |
| Nov 2025 | State settles: DEC to issue a five-year permit; 44% cut in permitted emissions by 2030. Seneca Lake Guardian: "a disgusting betrayal"26 27 28 | Permit back |
| Mar 2026 | "Actively exploring options for AI/HPC datacenter development"; NYISO study for 200 MW more29 | 106 → 260 MW |
| July 2026 | Renamed Vulcan Infrastructure and Power; $39.4M from investors; "654 MW development pipeline"5 | New name |
| Seneca Lake water permit: up to 139 million gallons a day in, discharged as hot as 108°F; 2024 average 89 million gallons a day20 30 | 139 MGD | |
The AI pivot is not a rumor; it is in the company's filings. Its March 2026 results said it was "actively exploring options for AI/HPC datacenter development" at Dresden and had started a grid study to draw an additional 200 megawatts.29 In July it renamed itself Vulcan Infrastructure and Power, took $39.4 million from investors, and described itself as a platform for "energized sites that support artificial intelligence and high-performance computing data centers."5 Its Bitcoin business was losing money — mining at 171.5% of the coins' value in the first half of 2026 — and it carries a $17.3 million coal-ash cleanup liability due in 2028.31 32 Its president told a reporter: "We're simply pivoting what the data center computers will be used for, from cryptocurrency to high-performance computing," and the company's position is that the Governor's new data-center moratorium "does not apply to them" because they are an existing facility.6 DEC says it "has not received any new applications relating to the reported change of use."33 Seneca Lake Guardian's Yvonne Taylor: "A new name doesn't mean a clean slate."34 At a Geneva rally in August, organizers put it at 106 megawatts becoming 260; Assemblymember Anna Kelles: "They take 130 million gallons from the lake every day. We say, 'No more.'"35
Follow the money. The public paid to bring the plant back. The power went to a private ledger instead of the grid. The community got 15 cents on the dollar of the tax revenue it used to get and a fraction of the jobs it was promised. When the state tried to enforce its own climate law, the company litigated for three years and got its permit back. Now it wants two and a half times the power and a new name. That is the pattern the energy brief calls privatized gains, socialized losses, and it is the model that will be pitched to Wayne County next — with a lake to cool it and a nuclear plant to power it.
4. What the "stop on AI" actually is — and where the hole is
There are three things in Albany people mean when they say New York "stopped AI," and only one of them is law. Executive Order 62, signed July 14, 2026, tells DEC to hold every permit application for the "construction or expansion" of a data center of 50 megawatts or more until a statewide environmental study is done — about a year.36 37 The Governor said in the Finger Lakes two weeks later: "we're not letting residents foot the bill while data centers come in."38 The Responsible Data Center Development Act (S.10642 / A.11560) passed both houses in June — a one-year moratorium at 20 megawatts, a separate rate class so data centers pay their own grid costs, renewable-power requirements, prevailing wage and host-community benefits — and has been sitting on the Governor's desk since, with reporting that she "believes data center decisions should be left to municipalities."39 40 41 42 And the RAISE Act, signed in December 2025, is an AI-safety law for the companies that build frontier models — it says nothing about data centers or power.43
Here is the hole. The executive order covers "construction or expansion," and the Act exempts the "modification, renewal, reissuance, or recertification of previously issued approvals." Greenidge already has the building, the gas plant, the water permit and — after the November settlement — the air permit. Its position is that switching the computers from Bitcoin to AI is not construction, and that it is an existing data center the moratorium "does not apply to."6 DEC's answer, so far, is that no application has been filed.33 If that reading holds, the first AI data center in the Finger Lakes will open through the side door while every new project waits at the front. And every retired or half-used gas plant in the state — there are dozens — becomes a candidate to do the same.
- New data centers of 50 MW+ (EO 62) or 20 MW+ (the Act): permits paused.
- "Expansion" of a data center: paused under EO 62 — but a gas plant changing its computers argues it is not one.
- Renewals and modifications of existing approvals: exempt under the Act.
- Who pays for the wires: under study at the PSC (Case 26-E-0045), decision due 2027.15
- Change of use is a new use. Any generating plant that redirects more than 20 MW to computing — crypto, AI, anything — needs a fresh permit and a full environmental review, no matter what it was licensed for before.
- The grid connection is the trigger. A request to draw or deliver 200 MW more is an expansion by definition; write that into the order and the Act.
- The lake is not a cooling pond. Water-intake permits for computing loads reviewed on their own, with Seneca Lake and Lake Ontario protected the way the platform already promises.
- Sign the bill. Then fix it.
5. The fair, defensible version — say it this way
An opponent will try to make this an argument about scare stories, so the campaign does not tell one. The documented reality is that residents are being outbid, displaced and charged more — not that utilities are deliberately blacking out homes so AI can run. In fact the rules are moving the other way on that narrow point: federal regulators ordered PJM in December 2025 to create "non-firm" service so co-located data centers are the first thing curtailed when supply is tight, Texas gave its grid operator the power to disconnect large loads in an emergency, and at least a dozen states are moving to charge data centers a higher rate.44 45 46 47 Protection exists. It is uneven, it is new, and it depends entirely on regulators acting for residents against the best-funded lobby in the country. Lake Tahoe shows what "uneven" means: the contract simply was not renewed.
The other honest word is about AI itself. This brief is not against computing, research or the Empire AI consortium the state exempts from its own order; it is against a business model in which the public pays for the plant, the lake and the wires, and a private ledger — Bitcoin yesterday, AI today — takes the power. A data center that pays its own grid costs, runs on power it builds, hires at prevailing wage and returns full taxes to the school district is a factory. One that does none of that is a toll booth on the grid. The law should be able to tell the difference.
Greenidge promised 60 to 100, employs about 50, and paid the county and schools 15 cents on the dollar of what the old plant paid. The STAMP data center wants $801 million in incentives for 125 permanent jobs — $6.4 million per job. Ask for the number, then divide.21 22 3 18
That is the company's argument, not the state's finding; DEC says it has received no application. Going from 106 to 260 megawatts is an expansion in any language but a lawyer's. The fix is to say so in the statute.6 33 35
Progress that pays its own way is welcome. The state's own order exempts universities, hospitals and manufacturing for that reason. What we are against is being outbid for the power our grandparents' rates built, by a buyer who will leave when the coins — or the chips — stop paying.
The Governor's 1-gigawatt nuclear plan arrives in the 2040s; the data centers are in the queue now. And a reactor's costs land on ratepayers win or lose: Georgia Power customers paid more than $1,000 each toward Vogtle before it finished, and South Carolina customers still pay $27 a month for a plant that was abandoned in 2017 and will never make a watt.48 49 50
6. The hedge: own it, and make it here
Power the community owns and generates locally cannot be outbid for and cannot be redirected to a distant buyer. A district that produces its own solar, wind, biomass, geothermal, hydro and storage — and owns it together, town by town, school by school, on the distributed model in the energy brief — converts "hope the regulator protects us" into "we control our own supply."51 That is the whole argument, and it does not depend on any forecast being right: whatever AI demand turns out to be, a megawatt-hour made on a Wayne County barn roof is one no data center can buy out from under you.
The campaign's community energy model puts rough numbers on the exposure. If a data-center-driven rate shock like the one already on bills in Ohio and Maryland — about $17 a month — hit the roughly 58,000 households of Webster and Wayne County, it would drain about $11.8 million a year out of the district, about $118 million over a decade, and roughly double that in a severe case. At about 90% local self-supply, roughly $10.7 million a year of that exposure disappears, because the power is not for sale on the market that sets the shock.52 1 Over thirty years the model's all-in cost to the community — build, financing, fuel, maintenance, grid rebuild, investor profit, subsidy and administration — comes to about $4.4 billion for a privatized, centralized system, $2.6 billion for privatized distributed generation, and $1.2 billion for public, distributed — the shortest bar because it carries no shareholder profit, no subsidy feeding profit, lower administration and municipal-rate financing, and it keeps about $13 million a year circulating in local wages, contracts and farm feedstock.52
The resilience is the bonus. About 80% of major U.S. outages are weather-related, and the last decade had roughly double the weather outages of the one before; when the lights go out it is almost never a shortage of power, it is downed lines — and a plant two hundred miles away runs while your house sits dark.53 Power made and stored locally can island and keep the fire station, the water plant and the shelter on. A data center in Dresden cannot do that for Sodus.
Sign the Responsible Data Center Development Act, then fix it so that a change of use is a new use: any plant that redirects more than 20 megawatts to computing needs a fresh permit and a full environmental review, and a request to draw or deliver more power is an expansion, whatever the sign on the gate says. Put data centers in their own rate class so they pay for the wires and the standby power they cause, and finish PSC Case 26-E-0045 with residents at the table. Treat Seneca Lake and Lake Ontario as drinking water, not coolant. Make every host-community deal pay full school taxes, not fifteen cents on the dollar. And build the hedge — publicly owned, locally owned solar, wind, biomass, geothermal, hydro and storage — so that whatever the bidding war does elsewhere, the 130th is not for sale.
The work in Albany — street power, people power, electoral power
| What has to happen | In Albany (Butch) | In the district (you) |
|---|---|---|
| Close the existing-facility loophole | Amend the Act and EO 62: change of use over 20 MW is a new use; a grid request over 20 MW is an expansion; no permit "modification" for a plant that changes what it powers. Co-sponsor with Assemblymember Kelles, whose district holds Seneca Lake. | Comments to DEC and the Governor on the Greenidge/Vulcan change of use before an application is filed; town and county resolutions asking the same. |
| Make data centers pay their own way | A separate rate class in statute, not just in a PSC case; capacity and transmission costs assigned to the load that causes them; interruptible-first rules like PJM's and Texas's written into New York law. | File in PSC Case 26-E-0045 — every ratepayer can; school boards file for the levy they will carry if the wires are socialized. |
| Protect the lakes | Water-intake and thermal-discharge permits for computing loads reviewed on their own terms; a Great Lakes and Finger Lakes standard for any facility over 20 MW. | Seneca Lake Guardian, the Lake Ontario shoreline associations and the Farm Bureau as one coalition; Wayne County's own water-intake ordinance. |
| Full taxes, real jobs | No PILOT for a computing load below full assessment; host-community benefits written to the school district; job counts audited and published. | IDA meetings are public — show up with the Greenidge numbers: 60–100 promised, 50 delivered, 15¢ on the tax dollar. |
| Build the hedge | The energy brief's plan: NYPA financing for locally owned generation and storage, the right to produce and sell, canopies on public lots, and the wires bought back where towns vote to do it. | School boards and towns apply as owners; the substation battery before the data center, not after. |
| Keep it honest | No money from data-center developers, utilities or plant owners; every meeting published. | Follow the money — and when the pitch comes to Wayne County, ask who paid for the last plant. |
Street power gets the DEC comment and the county resolution. People power builds the coalition across the lake. Electoral power puts a vote in the Assembly that cannot be outbid either. It is a matter of when. Let it find us ready.
Sources
- IEEFA, July 30 2025 — PJM 2025/26 capacity auction: data centers 63% of the increase, $9.3 billion; about $18/month in western Maryland, $16 in Ohio
- NYISO 2026 Gold Book load forecast — large-load interconnection queue over 12,000 MW, "multiple gigawatt-scale data center projects, particularly in upstate zones"
- New York Focus, Apr 13 2021 — $2M ESD grant (Dec 2015); PILOT $146,150 in 2020 vs $968,006 in 2010; $120,000 to Cuomo campaigns; pipeline PILOT
- WaterFront, Mar 6 2020 — Greenidge operating as a full-time Bitcoin mine; power "never reaches the energy grid"
- Greenidge press release, July 20 2026 — $39.4M investment; renamed Vulcan Infrastructure and Power; "104 MW existing energized capacity," "654 MW development pipeline"
- WENY, Aug 24 2026 — Dale Irwin: "We're simply pivoting what the data center computers will be used for"; company says the moratorium "does not apply"
- CalMatters, Mar 20 2026 — NV Energy to end wholesale supply to Liberty Utilities (Lake Tahoe) in May 2027, citing "its own resource needs"
- Fortune, May 12 2026 — 49,000 customers; 75% of Liberty's supply; data centers 22% of Nevada electricity in 2024, 35% by 2030; "We have no leverage"
- Sierra Business Council, May 21 2026 — Liberty rates about 34¢/kWh, roughly doubled 2020–2025
- Electrek, May 13 2026 — "49,000 customers … have zero leverage"
- 2News (Reno), May 15 2026 — NV Energy: "there will be no disruptions in power"; "data centers did not influence this decision"
- Tahoe Daily Tribune, May 15 2026 — deadline extended to 2028; Liberty to seek replacement supply
- Utility Dive — PJM market monitor: four auctions $63.6B, $29.4B (46%) data-center related; "a paradigm shift"
- Utility Dive — PJM market monitor: 2026/27 auction $16.1B, data centers $7.3B (82% of the increase)
- Gov. Hochul, Feb 12 2026 — PSC Case 26-E-0045: large-load interconnection and cost allocation; "those profiting from data growth pay their share"
- U.S. Department of Energy, July 7 2025 — grid reliability report: retirements plus load growth "increase the risk of power outages by 100 times in 2030"; 50 GW of new peak demand attributable to data centers
- Utility Dive, July 2025 — critics say the DOE report "appears to exaggerate the risk"
- Sierra Club Niagara, May 2026 — STAMP (Genesee County): 500 MW data center seeking ~$801M in tax incentives for 125 permanent jobs
- Rockefeller Institute, June 2026 — local data-center moratoriums: Lysander, Perth; proposals in Tonawanda, Massena, Ilion, Albany
- Grist, May 6 2021 — Greenidge history: closed 2011, $2M state grant, 139 million gallons a day from Seneca Lake, discharge up to 108°F
- Finger Lakes Times, Oct 2016 — Greenidge reopens: "$25 million investment," 4.6-mile pipeline, "60 to 100 new positions"
- Greenidge letter to Sen. Warren, Dec 17 2021 — ~50 full-time employees; 272,828 of 424,841 MWh used for mining
- NYS DEC, June 30 2022 — Title V denial: emissions 69,022 tons CO2e (2019) → 514,012 (2021), projected 1,050,467/yr; plant "primarily serve[s] … on-site cryptocurrency mining operations"
- S6486D (2022) — two-year moratorium on new permits for fossil-fueled proof-of-work crypto mining
- Earthjustice, Oct 22 2024 — moratorium expiring with no environmental impact study completed
- WENY, Nov 7 2025 — DEC–Greenidge settlement: DEC to issue a five-year Title V permit; 44% cut in permitted emissions by 2030
- Finger Lakes Times, Nov 2025 — Seneca Lake Guardian: "a disgusting betrayal of New Yorkers"
- Sabin Center Climate Case Chart — Greenidge v. DEC: Nov 2024 ruling, appeal, Feb 11 2026 dismissal by stipulation
- Greenidge FY2025 results, Mar 2026 — "actively exploring options for AI/HPC datacenter development"; NYISO study for an additional 200 MW at Dresden
- Rochester Beacon, Sept 10 2026 — "From crypto to AI": 2024 average water use 89 million gallons/day; expansion targeted for Q3 2027
- FingerLakes1, Aug 24 2026 (Peter Mantius) — ownership shift, $17.3M coal-ash liability, mining at 171.5% of value, 12 more sites under evaluation
- Vulcan Infrastructure and Power, Q2 2026 results, Aug 14 2026 — revenue $3.4M; net loss $9.9M
- WXXI, July 30 2026 — DEC: "has not received any new applications relating to the reported change of use"; Earthjustice: "the same old company with a new name"
- Finger Lakes Times, Aug 1 2026 — Yvonne Taylor: "A new name doesn't mean a clean slate"
- Finger Lakes Times, Aug 24 2026 — Geneva rally: 106 MW to 260 MW; Asm. Kelles on Seneca Lake water
- Executive Order No. 62, July 14 2026 — DEC to hold in abeyance permits for construction or expansion of data centers of 50 MW or more pending a Generic Environmental Impact Statement
- Carter Ledyard — New York's data-center moratorium: what EO 62 covers and exempts
- Gov. Hochul, Finger Lakes, July 29 2026 — "we're not letting residents foot the bill while data centers come in"
- S.10642 (Gonzalez) / A.11560 — Responsible Data Center Development Act: passed Senate June 4 2026 and Assembly 102–39; 20 MW threshold; separate rate class; exempts renewals and modifications of prior approvals
- Harris Beach Murtha — summary of the first-in-the-nation data-center moratorium bill
- NY State of Politics, Aug 27 2026 — Sen. Gonzalez urges Hochul to sign; bill awaiting action
- Inside Climate News, June 4 2026 — Hochul "believes data center decisions should be left to municipalities"
- Gov. Hochul, Dec 19 2025 — RAISE Act signed: safety rules for frontier AI models (not a data-center law)
- Utility Dive, Dec 2025 — FERC orders PJM to create non-firm ("interruptible") service for co-located data-center loads
- Utility Dive, 2025 — Texas SB 6 lets ERCOT disconnect large loads in an emergency
- Stateline, Feb 5 2026 — at least a dozen states considering higher rates for data centers
- MultiState, Feb 20 2026 — 300+ data-center bills in 30+ states; at least 18 states with special rate classes for large loads
- Gov. Hochul, June 1 2026 — NYPA request for developers for at least 1 GW of new nuclear upstate
- Inside Climate News, May 10 2026 — Vogtle: construction surcharge 2009–2024 added up to more than $1,000 for some households; final cost $36.8B
- Post and Courier, July 2020 — V.C. Summer: abandoned 2017; typical customer paying $27 a month; $2.3B more over 20 years
- Follow the Energy Money — the campaign's sourced energy brief
- Fitzsimmons campaign, "You Can Be Outbid for Your Own Power" — community energy model and documentation (illustrative planning estimates; inputs adjustable)
- Climate Central, Apr 2024 — 80% of major U.S. outages 2000–2023 were weather-related
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